It looks like the mainstream media pundits might have it wrong again. They all seem to be in agreement that Mitt Romney will be the beneficiary of early voting in the Florida primary. Although the official voting day for that primary is not until January 31, Florida allows early voting from January 21 through January 28. While Romney may have benefitted from absentee voting, which began in December at about the time he was rising in the polls, the tide turned prior to January 21.
By that time, Newt Gingrich was winning the primary in South Carolina and beginning to overtake Romney in both the Florida and national polls. Gingrich has now passed Romney in those polls, and there are still several more days left for early voting. So far, the early voting period has corresponded directly with Gingrich’s rise in the polls. Unless Romney can turn things around in the next day or two, all of the early voting will have taken place while Gingrich was on top. I’m not sure how those pundits arrive at some of their conclusions. Not surprisingly, many of them were caught completely off guard by Gingrich’s win in South Carolina.
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